Twenty-three No. 14 seeds have shocked a No. 3 in males’s NCAA match play, with Oakland changing into the latest shock within the 2024 match, when the Golden Grizzlies surprised Kentucky. Whereas 3s have usually had their approach with 14s for the reason that NCAA match expanded in 1985, the decrease seed has received sufficient to catch our consideration.
This is every part it’s worthwhile to find out about 14 seeds vs. 3 seeds in March Insanity.
Historical past of 14 vs. 3 seeds in March Insanity
Twenty-three No. 14 seeds have upset 3 seeds since 1985, giving them a 23-133 file all-time. That equates to a 14.74 win share.
Listed here are all the instances it is ever occurred.
| 12 months | Consequence | Rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1986 | Cleveland State def. Indiana | 83-79 |
| 1986 | Arkansas Little-Rock def. Notre Dame | 90-83 |
| 1987 | Austin Peay def. Illinois | 68-67 |
| 1988 | Murray State def. NC State | 78-75 |
| 1989 | Siena def. Stanford | 80-78 |
| 1990 | Northern Iowa def. Missouri | 74-71 |
| 1991 | Xavier def. Nebraska | 89-84 |
| 1992 | ETSU def. Arizona | 87-80 |
| 1995 | Previous Dominion def. Villanova | 89-81 |
| 1995 | Weber State def. Michigan State | 79-72 |
| 1997 | Chattanooga def. Georgia | 73-70 |
| 1998 | Richmond def. South Carolina | 62-61 |
| 1999 | Weber State def. North Carolina | 76-74 |
| 2005 | Bucknell def. Kansas | 64-63 |
| 2006 | Northwestern State def. Iowa | 64-63 |
| 2010 | Ohio def. Georgetown | 97-83 |
| 2013 | Harvard def. New Mexico | 68-62 |
| 2014 | Mercer def. Duke | 78-71 |
| 2015 | UAB def. Iowa State | 60-59 |
| 2015 | Georgia State def. Baylor | 57-56 |
| 2016 | Stephen F. Austin def. West Virginia | 70-56 |
| 2021 | Abilene Christian def. Texas | 53-52 |
| 2024 | Oakland def. Kentucky | 80-76 |
Some extra tidbits:
- In 20 of the 39 years for the reason that match discipline expanded to 64 groups, at the least one No. 14 seed has triumphed over a No. 3 seed.
- Solely two 14 seeds have ever superior previous the second spherical: 1986 Cleveland State and 1997 Chattanooga.
- No. 14 seeds are 12-9 in matches determined by three factors or fewer. Three of the final 5 14-over-3 upsets (Georgia State over Baylor and UAB over Iowa State in 2015, Abilene Christian over Texas in 2021) had been determined by one level.
- The most important upset in a 14 vs. 3 recreation — 14 factors — is tied between SFA’s win in 2016 and when Ohio topped Georgetown 97-83 in 2010.
- Just one 14-3 upset has gone to time beyond regulation. That was Previous Dominion-Villanova in 1995, which required three further periods.
- A 14 seed beat a 3 seed for seven straight years between 1986-92. That streak was snapped in 1993.
- There was a four-year stretch between 2013-16 the place a 14 seed upset a 3.
- No college that is earned a 3 seed has misplaced to a 14 seed greater than as soon as. On the flip aspect, Weber State has received two opening spherical video games as a 14 seed: 1995 vs. Michigan State and 1999 vs. North Carolina.
How more likely is a 14-3 upset than a 15-2 upset?
A 14-3 upset is 2 instances extra doubtless than a 15-2 upset. Eleven 15 seeds have pulled off the upset since 1985.
This is the complete record:
| 12 months | Consequence | Rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1991 | Richmond def. Syracuse | 73-69 |
| 1993 | Santa Clara def. Arizona | 64-61 |
| 1997 | Coppin State def. South Carolina | 78-65 |
| 2001 | Hampton def. Iowa State | 58-57 |
| 2012 | Lehigh def. Duke | 75-70 |
| 2012 | Norfolk State def. Missouri | 86-84 |
| 2013 | Florida Gulf Coast def. Georgetown | 78-68 |
| 2016 | Center Tennessee def. Michigan State | 90-81 |
| 2021 | Oral Roberts def. Ohio State | 75-72 (OT) |
| 2022 | Saint Peter’s def. Kentucky | 85-79 (OT) |
| 2023 | Princeton def. Arizona | 59-55 |
How more likely is a 13-4 upset than a 14-3 upset?
Groups on the 13 seed line have 33 wins within the opening spherical, that means it is occurred 10 extra instances than the 14-over-3 selection. This is the complete record of 13s which have topped 4s:
| 12 months | Consequence | Rating |
|---|---|---|
| 1985 | Navy def. LSU | 78-55 |
| 1987 | Missouri State def. Clemson | 65-60 |
| 1987 | Xavier def. Missouri | 70-69 |
| 1988 | Richmond def. Indiana | 72-69 |
| 1989 | Center Tennessee def. Florida State | 97-83 |
| 1991 | Penn State def. UCLA | 74-69 |
| 1992 | Southwestern Louisiana def. Oklahoma | 87-83 |
| 1993 | Southern def. Georgia Tech | 93-78 |
| 1995 | Manhattan def. Oklahoma | 77-67 |
| 1996 | Princeton def. UCLA | 43-41 |
| 1998 | Valparaiso def. Ole Miss | 70-69 |
| 1999 | Oklahoma def. Arizona | 61-60 |
| 2001 | Indiana State def. Oklahoma | 70-68 |
| 2001 | Kent State def. Indiana | 77-73 |
| 2002 | UNC Wilmington def. USC | 93-89 |
| 2003 | Tulsa def. Dayton | 84-71 |
| 2005 | Vermont def. Syracuse | 60-57 |
| 2006 | Bradley def. Kansas | 77-73 |
| 2008 | Siena def. Vanderbilt | 83-62 |
| 2008 | San Diego def. UConn | 70-69 |
| 2009 | Cleveland State def. Wake Forest | 84-69 |
| 2010 | Murray State def. Vanderbilt | 66-65 |
| 2011 | Morehead State def. Louisville | 62-61 |
| 2012 | Ohio def. Michigan | 65-60 |
| 2013 | La Salle def. Kansas State | 63-61 |
| 2016 | Hawaii def. California | 77-66 |
| 2018 | Buffalo def. Arizona | 89-69 |
| 2018 | Marshall def. Wichita State | 81-75 |
| 2019 | UC Irvine def. Kansas State | 70-64 |
| 2021 | North Texas def. Purdue | 78-69 (OT) |
| 2021 | Ohio def. Virginia | 62-58 |
| 2023 | Furman def. Virginia | 68-67 |
| 2024 | Yale def. Auburn | 78-76 |
